Launch weather forecast
Posted: June 8, 2003

 Forecast for Monday, June 9

Issued: Sunday, June 8
Launch Weather Officer: Joel Tumbiolo, 45th Weather Squadron

Synoptic Discussion: "High moistures levels, daytime heating, and local sea and lake breezes will trigger widespread thunderstorm development over the state again on Monday. Conditions are expected to improve on Tuesday as drier air moves in thunderstorms will concentrate more over inland sections.

"Main concerns during will be cumulus clouds, developing thunderstorms, and associated anvil clouds within the vicinity of the launch pad/flight path."

Clouds: Broken at 3,000 feet with 5/8ths sky coverage and tops at 10,000 feet; Broken at 10,000 feet with 5/8ths sky coverage and tops at 18,000 feet; and Broken at 25,000 feet with 6/8ths sky coverage and tops at 28,000 feet

Visibility: 7 miles

Launch Pad Winds: Easterly from 100 degrees at 10 gusting to 15 knots

Temperature: 82 to 84 degrees F

Relative Humidity: 70 percent

Weather: Showers and thunderstorms in the vicinity

Probability of Violating Weather Constraints: 60 percent

Concerns: Cumulus Cloud Rule, Lightning Rule, Anvil Cloud Rule

 

 24- and 48-hour Delay Forecasts

Tuesday's Probability of Violating Constraints: 40 percent
Concerns: Cumulus Cloud Rule, Lightning Rule, Anvil Cloud Rule

Wednesday's Probability of Violating Constraints: 30 percent
Concerns: Cumulus Cloud Rule, Lightning Rule, Anvil Cloud Rule

 

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