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Launch weather forecast
Posted: July 29, 2004

 Forecast for Monday, August 2

Issued: Thursday, July 29
Launch Weather Officer: Joel Tumbiolo, 45th Weather Squadron

Synoptic Discussion: "No significant changes to the overall forecast reasoning, with the exception of minor fluctuations in the available moisture. Deep tropical moisture which has fully entrenched over Florida will temporarily decrease later today. Southeast flow will lead to early sea breeze development. Expect late morning/early afternoon activity over the coast, with migration inland during the afternoon/evening hours.

"Over the next couple of days expect the same general pattern. The overall drier conditions will be temporary, as moisture levels are expected to again increase by the weekend.

"On launch day, the main concern will be the conditions at the time of MST Rollback. During the launch window, any activity should be over the Gulf Stream, will a chance of a shower or thunderstorm approaching from the South-Southeast."

Clouds: Scattered at 3,000 feet with 3/8ths sky coverage and tops at 10,000 feet; Broken at 28,000 feet with 5/8ths sky coverage and tops at 30,000 feet

Visibility: 10 miles

Launch Pad Winds: South-Southeasterly from 160 degrees at 8 gusting to 12 knots

Temperature: 78 to 80 degrees F

Relative Humidity: 90 percent

Weather: Showers and Thunderstorms in the vicinity offshore

Probability of Violating Weather Constraints: 30 percent

Concerns: Anvil Cloud Rule, Cumulus Cloud Rule, flight through precipitation


 24- and 48-hour Delay Forecasts

Tuesday's Probability of Violating Constraints: 30 percent
Concerns: Anvil Cloud Rule, Cumulus Cloud Rule and flight through precipitation

Wednesday's Probability of Violating Constraints: N/A
Concerns: N/A