Launch weather forecast
Posted: August 23, 2003

 Forecast for Monday, August 25

Issued: Saturday, August 23
Launch Weather Officer: Joel Tumbiolo, 45th Weather Squadron

Synoptic Discussion: "Weak and dissipating frontal boundary approaching from the north will be move through central Florida over the weekend, before returning northward during the day on Monday. Main threat for thunderstorms along the east coast will be Saturday. By Sunday, winds turn E-NE and all thunderstorm activity will remain west and south of the area.

"Forecast beyond Tuesday will depend on evolution of the strong tropical wave (former TD #9) as this system has the potential to redevelop.

"Main concerns for the instantaneous launch window will be the proximity of residual cloud cover associated showers and thunderstorms that develop during the afternoon and evening hours."

Clouds: Scattered at 3,000 feet with 2/8ths sky coverage and tops at 5,000 feet; Scattered at 12,000 feet with 2/8ths sky coverage and tops at 14,000 feet; Broken at 25,000 feet with 5/8ths sky coverage and tops at 28,000 feet

Visibility: 7 miles

Launch Pad Winds: East-northeasterly from 070 degrees at 5 gusting to 10 knots

Temperature: 74 to 76 degrees F

Relative Humidity: 90 percent

Weather: Partly Cloudy

Probability of Violating Weather Constraints: 20 percent

Concerns: Cumulus Cloud Rule, Anvil Cloud Rule, Debris Cloud Rule

 

 24- and 48-hour Delay Forecasts

Tuesday's Probability of Violating Constraints: 30 percent
Concerns: Cumulus Cloud Rule, Anvil Cloud Rule, Debris Cloud Rule

Wednesday's Probability of Violating Constraints: 40 percent
Concerns: Cumulus Cloud Rule, Anvil Cloud Rule, Debris Cloud Rule

 

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