Launch weather forecast
Posted: August 22, 2003

 Forecast for Monday, August 25

Issued: Friday, August 22
Launch Weather Officer: Joel Tumbiolo, 45th Weather Squadron

Synoptic Discussion: "Light south to north steering flow will result in early development and inland penetration of the east coast sea breeze. This will result in a majority of showers and thunderstorms remaining west of I-95 corridor. Weak frontal boundary approaching from the north will be over FL-GA border over the weekend, before dissipating.

"Forecast beyond Tuesday will depend on evolution of Tropical Depression #9.

"Main concerns for the instantaneous launch window will be the proximity of residual cloud cover associated showers and thunderstorms that develop during the afternoon and evening hours."

Clouds: Scattered at 3,000 feet with 2/8ths sky coverage and tops at 5,000 feet; Scattered at 12,000 feet with 2/8ths sky coverage and tops at 14,000 feet; Broken at 25,000 feet with 5/8ths sky coverage and tops at 28,000 feet

Visibility: 7 miles

Launch Pad Winds: Southeasterly from 120 degrees at 5 gusting to 10 knots

Temperature: 76 to 78 degrees F

Relative Humidity: 90 percent

Weather: Shower in the vicinity

Probability of Violating Weather Constraints: 20 percent

Concerns: Cumulus Cloud Rule, Anvil Cloud Rule, Debris Cloud Rule

 

 24- and 48-hour Delay Forecasts

Tuesday's Probability of Violating Constraints: 30 percent
Concerns: Cumulus Cloud Rule, Anvil Cloud Rule, Debris Cloud Rule

Wednesday's Probability of Violating Constraints: 40 percent
Concerns: Cumulus Cloud Rule, Anvil Cloud Rule, Debris Cloud Rule

 

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