Launch weather forecast
Posted: August 21, 2003

 Forecast for Monday, August 25

Issued: Thursday, August 21
Launch Weather Officer: Joel Tumbiolo, 45th Weather Squadron

Synoptic Discussion: "Deep tropical air mass remains entrenched over Florida. Light S-SW steering flow will result in early development and inland penetration of the east coast sea breeze. This will result in a majority of showers and thunderstorms remaining west of I-95 corridor. Weak frontal boundary approaching from the north will be over FL-GA border over the weekend, and dissipate over northern and central FL by Monday. SE flow reestablishes itself on Tuesday as a tropical wave approaches from the SE. This wave is expected to remain south of the area.

"Main concerns for the instantaneous launch window will be the proximity of residual cloud cover associated showers and thunderstorms that develop during the afternoon and evening hours."

Clouds: Scattered at 3,000 feet with 2/8ths sky coverage and tops at 5,000 feet; Scattered at 12,000 feet with 2/8ths sky coverage and tops at 14,000 feet; Broken at 25,000 feet with 5/8ths sky coverage and tops at 28,000 feet

Visibility: 7 miles

Launch Pad Winds: Southeasterly from 120 degrees at 5 gusting to 10 knots

Temperature: 76 to 78 degrees F

Relative Humidity: 90 percent

Weather: Shower in the vicinity

Probability of Violating Weather Constraints: 20 percent

Concerns: Cumulus Cloud Rule, Anvil Cloud Rule, Debris Cloud Rule

 

 24- and 48-hour Delay Forecasts

Tuesday's Probability of Violating Constraints: 20 percent
Concerns: Cumulus Cloud Rule, Anvil Cloud Rule, Debris Cloud Rule

Wednesday's Probability of Violating Constraints: 20 percent
Concerns: Cumulus Cloud Rule, Anvil Cloud Rule, Debris Cloud Rule

 

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