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Launch weather forecast
Posted: June 11 2007

 Forecast for Thursday, June 14

Issued: Monday, June 11
Launch Weather Officer: 45th Weather Squadron

Synoptic Discussion: "A weak cold front/boundary is in North Florida and will gradually migrate South and off into the Atlantic over the next 36 hours. The seabreeze will develop by late morning with isolated showers and thunderstorms forming along the seabreeze. High pressure remains suppressed to the South through the week with Southerly to Southwesterly surface winds in the morning becoming Southeasterly by late morning with the development of the seabreeze. Steering level winds transition on Monday and become Westerly with afternoon and evening thunderstorms favoring the East coast.

"For (mobile launch platform) roll, an upper level disturbance is expected over the peninsula enhancing the likelihood of late morning thunderstorms coupled with the seabreeze development. Showers and thunderstorms developing along the sea breeze will favor the East coast during the afternoon and evening.

"On launch day, high pressure remains suppressed to the South with Southwesterly surface winds. Expect winds gusting to 20 knots (230 feet). Steering winds and anvil level winds remain form the West acting to transport showers and thunderstorm toward the East coast. Expect showers and thunderstorms to develop by late morning along the seabreeze.

"The primary concerns for launch day are cumulus clouds, disturbed weather, and isolated thunderstorms.

"In the event of a 24 hour delay, similar conditions prevail with Southwesterly surface, steering level, and anvil level winds."

Clouds: Cumulus scattered at 2,500 feet with tops at 15,000 feet; and Cirrus broken at 24,000 feet with tops at 30,000 feet

Visibility: 7 miles

Launch Pad Winds: Southwesterly from 220 degrees at 15 to 20 knots

Temperature: 79-81 degrees F

Relative Humidity: 70 percent

Weather: Isolated showers and thunderstorms

Solar Activity: Low

Probability of Violating Weather Constraints: 40 percent

Concerns: Thick clouds and disturbed weather associated with isolated showers

 

 Forecast for 24-hour delay

Friday's Probability of Violating Constraints: 40 percent
Concerns: Thick clouds and disturbed weather associated with isolated showers

 

MISSION STATUS CENTER